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Saturday, June 21, 2025

[국내, 방산] Dawn of a New Cold War : K-Defense, Land of Opportunity

K-Defense Investment Analysis Dashboard (Dark Mode)

Dawn of a New Cold War: K-Defense, Land of Opportunity

The call from the US and NATO for increased defense spending signifies a structural shift in the global security landscape, presenting unprecedented opportunities for South Korea's defense industry. This dashboard provides an in-depth analysis of the intrinsic value and growth potential of 12 key companies, supporting data-driven investment decisions.

Market Outlook: Why K-Defense Now?

NATO Defense Budget Increase

The target shift from 2% to 5% of GDP implies the creation of a new market worth approximately 3,000 trillion KRW, explosively increasing demand for replacing aging weapons and introducing advanced systems.

K-Defense's Competitiveness

Beyond 'cost-effectiveness,' it has proven new strengths in 'prompt delivery' and 'stable supply chains'—powerful differentiators that Western competitors find hard to replicate.

Sustainable Growth

Evolving beyond a short-term theme into a structural growth sector for the next decade, backed by a massive order backlog. Profit growth is expected to outpace stock price increases.

Projected Combined Order Backlog for Top 5 Companies (Unit: Trillion KRW)

Source: Based on Mirae Asset Securities report

In-depth Company Analysis

Click on a company name below to view detailed information.

Valuation Summary

Key Financial Trends (Unit: 100M KRW)
Comprehensive Capability Analysis (2024 est.)

Diverse Investment Perspectives

Lessons from the Past

2H 2025 Scenario Outlook

Optimistic: Super Cycle (+30% ~ +50%)

Successful follow-up orders and sustained geopolitical tensions. Valuation gap narrows rapidly.

Neutral: Catching a Breath (+10% ~ +20%)

Gradual orders and proven earnings growth. Expecting a step-by-step stock price increase.

Pessimistic: Risk Mitigation (-20% ~ -30%)

Unexpected peace and economic recession. Short-term correction is possible.

Perspectives of the Masters

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This post is part of the Coupang Partners program, for which I receive a certain commission.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes to aid in investment decisions and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any specific stock. The final decision and responsibility for all investments lie solely with the investor.

Source: adenseconomic.blog.naver.com

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