Featured Post

[TWR, 2025년 5월 19-23일] 대한민국 주요 5대 산업 주간 주가 예측 보고서

I. Executive Summary 본 보고서는 2025년 5월 19일부터 23일까지 예정된 미국의 주요 경제 지표 발표 일정과 주요 산업 컨퍼런스(CLEANPOWER 2025, TPD & Induced Proximity Pharma Part...

Popular Posts

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Taiwan’s Export Record: How Broad Is the Technology-Led Boom?

Taiwan · Merchandise trade · Release: October 8, 2026, 16:00 UTC+8 · Information cutoff: October 10, 2026, 12:29 UTC

Taiwan’s Export Record: How Broad Is the Technology-Led Boom?

Taiwan’s September export expansion reached beyond electronics, while remaining heavily dependent on technology-related products. Exports rose 60.9% from a year earlier to US$87.222 billion. Two major categories, information and communications products and electronic components, supplied about 89.6% of the increase. Other goods also grew, by 25.4%. The October 8 official release and its detailed tables support both conclusions: growth reached several industries, and the largest growth engine became even more important.

For international readers tracking the industrial cycle, that distinction matters. A rising headline can conceal weakness elsewhere, but concentration alone does not establish that the rest of the economy is shrinking. September provides a useful way to separate the two questions.

Follow the additional dollars

The most informative comparison is the source of the year-on-year increase. Start with three mutually exclusive groups: the two major technology categories and the remaining goods. Use the increase in each group, rather than its total sales, to identify the source of additional export dollars. The full inputs are below. Together, their increments reconcile to a US$33.003 billion gain, subject to the table’s rounding. Detailed release and tables, commodity table on page 3.

Dividing the first two increments by the total gives 89.57%. This is a contribution to the growth in export value. It should not be described as technology’s share of all exports, which has a different denominator.

Where September’s added export dollars came from

Increase from September 2025, US$ billion. Full bar = US$33.003 billion.

  • ICT and audio-video: +US$19.855bn · 60.16% of the increase
  • Electronic components: +US$9.707bn · 29.41%
  • All other goods: +US$3.441bn · 10.43%

80.55%Two technology categories’ share of September exports

89.57%The same categories’ share of the annual increase

Author’s calculations from the ministry’s rounded US$ million table. Both technology categories include products beyond AI. The bar measures contributions to growth, not market shares.

Broadening is visible, but uneven

The sector rows below, drawn from the English commodity summary and detailed release, show why breadth deserves separate attention. A sector can improve materially without dominating aggregate exports. Reading both positive and negative changes also guards against treating a national growth figure as a description of every industry.

There is another complication: a product outside the electronics and ICT headings can still serve technology investment. Machinery used to produce semiconductors is an obvious classification example in the detailed release. A broadening of customs categories therefore need not mean that independent sources of final demand are multiplying at the same speed. The categories describe the goods crossing the border, not a clean separation between AI and everything else.

Open the source values, denominators and calculation checks
September 2026 exports; US$ million, unless marked otherwise
CategoryValueAnnual increaseAnnual growth
ICT and audio-video39,12819,855103.0%
Electronic components31,1319,70745.3%
Combined technology categories70,25929,56272.6%
All other goods16,9633,44125.4%
All exports87,22233,003*60.9%
Machinery, included in other goods2,73564230.7%
Base metals and articles, included in other goods2,69250222.9%
Textiles, included in other goods522−12−2.3%

*US$33.003 billion is the sum of the three reported increments; the release’s headline rounds the increase to US$33.0 billion. Do not add the combined-technology row to its components, or the selected industrial rows to the all-other-goods row.

Level share: (39,128 + 31,131) ÷ 87,222 × 100 = 80.55%. Growth contribution: (19,855 + 9,707) ÷ (19,855 + 9,707 + 3,441) × 100 = 89.57%. Values and contribution shares reconcile before presentation rounding.

Prices, production and domestic value added

September’s record was supported by demand for new technology, restocking ahead of consumer-electronics releases and higher product prices, according to ministry explanations reported by CNA on October 8. This matters because a dollar-value increase cannot, by itself, tell us how many more physical units were shipped. A more expensive product mix can lift export value even with a smaller change in volume.

Customs values also differ from the income created inside Taiwan. The OECD’s trade-in-value-added framework distinguishes domestic and foreign contributions embedded in exports. Imported components can be incorporated into products that are subsequently exported. Consequently, a gross export increase is not a one-for-one addition to domestic GDP, profits or household income.

The companion import statistics help describe the wider trading system. However, subtracting aggregate imports does not identify the domestic value added in any individual export category. Imports include goods used for different purposes, and a monthly subtraction cannot trace their journey through production. That requires input information beyond this release.

How to read the next release

Interpretation: September shows participation across several industries alongside heavy dependence on the two dominant export categories. Their larger share of the increment than of the export level is the key signal. Strong growth elsewhere can coexist with an increasingly concentrated source of additional sales.

Next, ask whether the non-electronics and non-ICT increase persists, whether it reflects prices or quantities, and which categories supply the extra dollars. Looking only at a growth rate can exaggerate the importance of a small sector; looking only at a share can overlook a genuine improvement from a weak base.

For suppliers and investors, the useful question is therefore specific: does a business benefit from the same technology spending cycle, or from a separate source of demand? The trade table helps frame that investigation. It cannot answer it for an individual company, and it does not turn a national export record into a stock recommendation.

Scope: preliminary September 2026 merchandise trade, nominal US dollars. No exchange-rate conversion or seasonal adjustment is applied to this article’s calculations. MOF statistical notes describe customs-declaration coverage, valuation and revisions. Later revisions can change these comparisons.